花旗:黄金需求持续增加 银价则持续走低
关键字：黄金需求、银价
《Scrap Monster》9月25日报导，花旗集团（Citigroup Inc.）分析团队在最新报告中表示，投资人对于白银投资需求的增加，仍不足以弥补白银供需基本面的疲弱，预期银价将持续走低。银价今年以来已下跌约29%。
报告称，银矿的供应持续增长，白银加工制造需求则表现疲弱，加上连动性高的金价走软，以及长期美元走势看涨等，都将对白银价格造成压力。该行预估今年第三季与第四季的平均银价将分别为每盎司21.45美元与20.20美元，2014与2015年的平均价格则分别为20.20美元与22.20美元。
《Kitco News》报导，新上任的世界黄金协会（World Gold Council）主席、加拿大金矿商New Gold Inc.执行主席欧利梵（Randall Oliphant）表示，黄金的实物需求还会持续数十年，今年四月金价创下30年最大跌幅所引发的购金热潮只是一个开端。欧利梵指出，投资人以及避险基金对于黄金的需求总是来来去去，因此实物的黄金消费需求对于黄金产业来说是相当重要的，特别是占全球半数黄金消费的中国大陆与印度，随着经济的增长，其黄金消费需求也将持续增加。
金价今年以来下跌20%，预计将写下13年来的首个年度跌幅。不过，欧利梵认为，支撑金价的并不只是实物消费市场，全球央行也在增加黄金储备，特别是去年全球央行买入的黄金创下历史新高，这一切都预示着黄金的长期需求趋势才正在展开。欧利梵表示，从投资和资本市场，到亚洲消费者的崛起，黄金将作为财富储存和保值方式在许多地区扮演核心角色。欧利梵在黄金行业有近30年的丰富工作经验。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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