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中东局势紧张 黄金石油价格上涨

关键字:中东局势、黄金价格、石油价格

因为越来越担忧中东地区武装冲突会令油价高涨、全球增长放缓、通胀上升,对冲基金等投机者押注黄金多头的规模连续几周有增无减,上周又创今年1月以来新高。

市场看多黄金的理由仍更多围绕叙利亚紧张局势升温。9月6日,美国总统奥巴马表示,全球越来越认识到必须对动用化学武器的政府采取行动。同日,澳大利亚、加拿大、法国、意大利、日本、韩国、沙特阿拉伯、西班牙、土耳其、英国及美国发布联合声明,称叙利亚政府应为8月化学武器袭击事件负责,称必须做出”强烈响应”,不能坐等”瘫痪”的安理会完成授权程序。

中东地区产油量占全球总规模的33%,该地区如开战势必影响全球市场原油供应,激发通胀上升风险。一些投资者因而买入金条,以此对冲通胀加速上升。货币大宽松和未来全球经济的不确定性是黄金市场的两大支柱。

本周,市场不仅要继续留意美国数据和美联储方面的表态,由于美国国会今起将结束休会期,有关叙利亚局势的相关信息也将再度成为舆论焦点。若本周参院有关叙利亚动武的授权议案能够得以通过,有望继续利好黄金避险属性。反之若议案被否决,金价的避险效应或将大打折扣。

大田貴金屬分析师预测金价区间1381-1434美元。

 


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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