黄金价震荡大跌 关注美国非农就业数据
关键字：黄金大跌、非农数据
【基本面分析】
高位: 1400 低位: 1365
因昨晚公布的美国初请失业金及制造业PMI数据大幅向好，美元扩大涨幅，令黄金跌至1370美元下方。
另外欧洲央行宣布维持低利率不变，并且暗示未来有进一步降息的可能，欧/美元大跌。
眼下市场聚焦今晚公布的8月美国非农就业数据，前提将为美联储是否在9月缩减QE提供重要依据。
欧洲央行昨日公布9月利率决议，宣布维持利率在0.50%记录地位不变。同时欧洲央行宣布维持边际货款利率1.0%不变，并维持存款机制利率0.0%不变，随后行长德拉基(Cmario Praghi)召开新闻发布会表示如果货币市场出现异动将会考虑降息，然而欧洲经济复苏缓慢，而近期通胀水平预计维持一定低位。
另一方面，美联储会议会在17号召开，意味投资者持有仓量也会减少，黄金将有下行风险。
【技术分析】
金价上午走势仍然疲弱，投资者在美国就业数据公布前都先行获利离场，短线底部于1348-1360之间，后市方向除了消息，技术上仍可计算一下整个上升浪的回吐幅度有多大，以1180起步计算至到1433，共上升了253美元，调整浪不应跌整个上升幅度的一半，即1306附近，金价中线如守稳1300水平，后市仍可看好。
大田貴金屬分析师暂时金价阻力在1433，过往走势依靠非农重榜数据，突破1433的上行空间非常大，有机会突破1450，一旦无法攻破1433的话，还有机会调整至1325附近低位买入。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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