美联储暂不会缩减购债 黄金回暖
关键字：美联储缩减购债
美国上周四公布的当周初请失业金人数不佳，打压美元及美债收益率回落，同时也令美联储9月缩减量化宽松的预期降温，黄金小幅上扬。 此外，美联储会议纪要显示大部分官员都赞同主席伯南克6月提出的退出量化宽松时间表。伯南克曾表示预计在今年年底缩减量化宽松，至明年年中彻底退出量化宽松。
本月一系列的美国经济数据显示经济复苏历程仍存较大不确定性，暗示美联储不会很快开始缩减购债，国际金价一度上试1400美元高位。
基本面因素特别是美国经济的复苏，以及美国宽松政策即将逐步缩小规模的预期，依旧持续对黄金价格构成压力，但当前市场情绪依旧有所缓解。当前市场中做多的信心获得提升，因中长期底部已经基本形成。包括黄金ETF持仓已出现回暖，暗示黄金抛售情绪已经触底，后市将获得更多上行动能。
同时，埃及局势再度恶化，以及南非的罢工活动，也提振了黄金的避险买盘，目前已经有迹象显示有部分资金重返黄金市场。 金价操作建议1390美元附近做多，目标价1434美元。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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