机构对黄金趋势观点现分歧
美国成屋数据不及预期，美联储此前提供退出量化宽松的计划有赖于美国经济数据和就业数据改善，黄金大涨3.3%，今日金价上行动能不强，目前接近于开盘价，录得1334.75美元/盎司，Kotak Commodity Services公司周一表示，“近期伯南克的言论缓解了市场对美联储缩减购债的忧虑，这也引起了市场上的一些空头回补。未来的经济数据将对美联储缩减购债的态度起到关键的作用。同时，由于原油冲高并逐渐企稳，黄金从中获得一定支撑。”
银行分析师表示，“就目前来说黄金已经突破1322美元水平，这是一个非常重要的黄金阻力位置，暗示短期黄金价格继续上行。同时，该位置还是过去黄金涨至1800美元时的关键支撑位置。”
美国基金经理库奇诺表示，金价已经渐渐找到了支撑，因为伯南克表态告诉市场，美联储希望在实实在在看到经济情况出现改善后再开始缩减资产购买规模。“由于低成本资金会持续流入，持有黄金的长期理由，比如保本等如今依然存在。”
邓迪资产管理首席经济学家马丁·穆伦比德指出，尽管美联储最终将收紧货币政策，但全球其他市场的刺激政策同样会提振黄金需求，支撑金价。
瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)分析师Tom Kendall表示，“未来我依然看空黄金，因为我相信发达国家的通胀水平不会迅速上涨，同时名义收益率的上升将带动实际收益率走高，对投资者来说这将增加他们持有黄金的机会成本。”
上周五(7月19日)发表评论称，预计整个夏季黄金价格将有所走高，但在今年晚些时候可能再次呈现弱势格局，如果美联储开始缩减量化宽松的话。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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