美联储明确退出路线 贵金属前景堪忧
周三，贵金属集体大幅下跌，美联储议息会议结果出炉，尽管美联储维持了当前每月850亿美元的量化宽松规模不变，但在新闻发布会上，美联储主席伯南克暗示若经济维持当前复苏水平，则有望在今年晚些时候缩减购债规模，并在2014年年中停止购债活动。美联储对美国经济进行了较为乐观的预期，上调了未来经济增速，以及就业市场表现，美联储委员认为美国经济和就业市场的下滑风险自去年秋季已经降低，而通胀一直略低于委员会的较长期目标水准，较长期通胀预期保持稳定。此外，伯南克对于何时加息也提出明确的看法，他认为失业率降低至6%才会考虑加息，但目前距离加息还有很长一段时间。上述表态给予近期一直猜测美联储何时开始退出政策的投资者们一个相对明确的答案，个人认为这将成为推动贵金属长期走弱的重要基础。从市场表现看，美股、非美货币等风险资产大幅下跌，美元指数强劲上涨，贵金属集体下跌并有望创下本轮下跌新低。
图形上看，贵金属四大品种均呈现出下跌趋势，并且随着美联储政策明朗，预计中长期前景堪忧。黄金跌破三角形支撑，预计短线依然存在下跌动力，并突破1322美元的近期低位；白银跌势依旧，投资者可以考虑双向做空；铂金钯金也大幅下跌，短线跌破支撑位向本轮调整低点靠近。
周三，国际原油期货价格震荡收跌。美联储提出退出政策的详细计划，令市场大为紧张。投资者抛售风险资产，导致原油期货受到打压，此外美国汽油库存增加也增添了北美原油价格下跌的动力。
贵金属现货市场
品种 开盘价 最高价 最低价 收盘价 日内涨跌(美元) 日内涨跌
(百分比)
黄金 1367.60 1376.45 1349.20 1351.26 -16.34 -1.19%
白银 21.68 21.83 21.28 21.41 -0.27 -1.24%
铂金 1440.50 1443.88 1414.98 1415.28 -25.22 -1.75%
钯金 709.47 713.15 692.99 693.50 -15.97 -2.25%
原油期货市场
合约到期日 收盘 前日收盘 涨 跌
纽约商交所 JUL 13 98.24 98.44 -0.20%
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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