加拿大央行维持稳定，美元有所下挫
关键词：加拿大央行维持稳定
9月9日加拿大央行公布了货币政策决议，维持当前利率不变，虽然加拿大央行的措辞谨慎，但市场仍认为鸽派程度不及市场预期，同时加拿大第三季度的经济活动反弹比市场预期要好，美元出现了一定下挫。
加拿大央行重申了利率的前瞻指引。货币政策方面，加拿大央行将继续以目前的速度进行大规模的资产购买计划。将维持政策利率在有效利率下限，直至经济闲置得到吸纳，可实现2%通胀目标。
加拿大央行称，第三季度经济活动的反弹速度似乎快于7月份的预期，将持续到经济复苏顺利进行，并将进行调整，以提供支持复苏和实现通胀目标所需的货币政策刺激。复苏阶段需要货币政策提供支持，经济将继续需要特别的货币政策支持。量化宽松计划将持续到复苏顺利开始。
全球经济方面，加拿大央行指出，全球和加拿大经济的发展大致符合其7月份货币政策报告中的情景。预计恢复将是缓慢而起伏不定的。美国经济的反弹强于预期，而新兴市场的经济表现更加复杂。
分析师指出，加拿大央行行长麦克勒姆维持谨慎立场。该行仍可能需要进一步提高债券购买规模。尽管近期加拿大公布的经济数据好于加拿大最为担忧的状况，但仍然存在巨大风险，而且经济仍相当疲弱。
此前，数据显示加拿大就业市场逐步转好。加拿大8月就业人数增幅降至24.58万，大致符合市场期值25万，使得3月及4月流失的300万就业岗位恢复了190万，就业分项数据积极，全职职位人口增加20.58万，失业率推升至10.2%，而劳动力参与率则小幅上升至64.6%，该数据表明，继一季度就业出现历史性收缩后，经济复苏仍处于正轨，但不会对财政或货币政策产生更广泛的影响。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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