全球经济担忧仍在,金价的跌势有限
关键词:全球经济担忧仍在
2月25日,金价出现走低,但随后在晚间时分,金价有所回升,并出现一定的震荡,由于金价突破新高位后投资者离场获利引发金价下跌,但全球公共卫生事件引发的忧虑让市场感到焦虑。
大田环球指出,在接近1700美元/盎司关口后,投资者必然会选择获利了结,但我们认为在触及1800大关之前没必要;持有黄金的理由在迅速增加,各国央行都可能因此做出反应。
疫情在中国以外快速扩散加剧了人们对其全球经济影响的担忧,促使部分人押注美联储将被迫降息,以缓解疫情带来的打击。美国10年期国债收益率纽市盘中跌至历史新低的1.305%,增强了关于央行降息的讨论。
着疫情扩散到其他国家和地区,对增长造成的影响或将持续到4月,金价可能会升至每盎司1650-1700美元的水平。
以欧元计价的黄金和以英镑计价的黄金双双从周一触及的纪录高位回落。目前这个周期内,所有货币计金价都将创下新高。今年以来美元计金价已经上涨了近10%,如果再涨13%左右,就意味着突破2011年的历史顶部水平。黄金和美元在大部分时候处在负相关关系中,即黄金和美元此消彼长,但近期这一关系被打破,黄金和美元指数一同走高。在这种情况下,黄金的涨势更被看好。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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