金价因大量平仓而回落,失守关口
关键词:金价失守关口
2月24日的美盘时间中,金价出现明显回落,失守1660关口,虽然美元指数的回升让金价有所承压,但主要原因是黄金涨幅过于明显,多头积累丰厚利润,出现大量交易单平仓而引起的行情回落。
大田环球表示,市场对全球公共卫生事件的担忧推动黄金大幅上涨,但市场的担忧或许有些过度了。疫情在中国的传播速度已经放缓,虽然目前全球其他地区逐渐出现确诊病例激增的情况,但预期疫情最终能够得到遏制。因此,当恐慌消退时,市场的避险需求可能会下降,金价出现修正是可能的,但这并不意味着黄金将会走向熊市。
黄金的牛市已经开始一段时间,最重要的是,近期市场的恐惧压低了长期利率,收益率曲线再度倒挂。曲线的倒挂将会重燃市场对经济衰退的担忧,进而推动美联储于今年至少降息一次。随着恐慌的加剧与收益率的不断下降,美联储可能被迫再次干预。在这样的环境下,黄金继续走高的可能性较高。
纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的4月黄金期价24日比前一交易日上涨27.8美元,收于每盎司1676.6美元,涨幅为1.69%。R市场现在受到了惊吓,人们担心的不是疫情本身,而是对经济方面的问题。道琼斯工业指数骤降约一千点,公债收益率也下跌。
近日意大利、韩国和伊朗报告的新增病例急剧上升,阿富汗和伊拉克报告国内首例病例;世界卫生组织(WHO)表示,对与中国没有明显联系的病例不断上升感到担忧。
美国三个月国库券和10年期公债收益率曲线进一步倒置,分析师认为收益率曲线倒置是经济衰退的信号。指标10年期公债收益率日内跌逾10个基点,刷新2016年7月以来低点至1.350%。利率期货市场显示,美联储7月或之前降息的可能性超过80%。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.