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金价小幅回升,金价走势不明朗

关键词:金价小幅回升

9月10日,现货黄金维持反弹走势,但本周金价的走势比较疲弱,虽然全球央行的宽松预期对金价构成了比价强力的支撑,但因为市场的风险情绪有所回暖,股市回升,限制金价走高。

周四欧洲央行即将公布最新的利率决议,除了将存款利率调至负值,欧洲央行还有可能宣布重启债券购买计划,即量化宽松QE,以刺激该地区的经济。

分析称,周四的欧洲央行利率决策会议很可能是2016年3月以来最引人关注的会议,因为我们正处于经济问题、政治问题和欧洲央行新行长就任交汇的时间节点。

分析指出,虽然欧洲央行在可预见的未来达不到其通胀目标,但是如果不进一步采取刺激措施,情况可能会更糟,至少现在可以保证通胀率不下滑。

该行研究人员表示,史低的通胀和下沉的增长前景相结合,引发了新兴市场降息揣测的爆发。数据显示,新兴市场的消费者价格增长接近至少1990年以来最弱水平。

经济学家正在观察商业和消费者信心指标,寻找贸易问题和制造业放缓在更广泛范围内影响经济增长的迹象。最近几周,经济指标好坏参半,世界大型企业研究会的消费者信心指数保持坚挺,但密歇根大学的消费者信心指标则表现不佳。

名义和实际利率处于低位或在更长时间内降至更低、全球衰退风险,因贸易紧张局势而放大、地缘政治分歧局势加剧,这些因素叠加起来增强了黄金市场的看涨氛围。

分析师表示,市场很大程度上计入了贸易争端的后果,但影响似乎没有预期的那么大。全球市场会转向增长资产,避险资产会受到打压。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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