现货黄金创下新高，美联储忧心
关键词：美联储忧心
2月18日，国际金价市场持续上涨，因为美元的走软，中美达成贸易协议的乐观预期，市场预期金价上涨，同时美联储暂停升息周期的预期也受到市场的普遍注意。而上个月美国的各项工业数据都有所收缩，进一步支撑金价。
分析师表示：“贸易谈判风险的缓解当然让市场受益。”他并称，谈判取得进展的迹象降低了美元买需，使黄金受到支撑。
美国和中国将在华盛顿继续进行贸易磋商，双方缓解贸易摩擦的时间紧迫。今年以来现货黄金累计上涨3.2%左右，市场寄望中美两国达成贸易协议，结束长达逾半年的贸易摩擦。
美联储将在周三公布1月政策会议纪要。该纪要应当回提供有关今年升息可能性的更多指引。金价上涨还因投资者预期，美联储将暂停升息周期。
美联储在1月份的政策声明中称，将对进一步升息保持“耐心”，因为它将评估与其设定的2%通胀目标相关的“已实现和预期的经济状况”。
分析师表示：“就市场而言，预计美联储暂缓加息的立场将在2019年上半年维持，但若今年停止缩表，就有助于支持股市。”
分析师道：“一个关键问题是，1月份声明和鲍威尔主席新闻发布会的观点有多大转变。我们认为，会议纪要将试图暗示，美联储语气的变化不是大转弯，而是延续他们的‘数据依赖’路径。”
会议纪要将有助于提供有关FOMC对经济风险的进一步细节。美联储主席鲍威尔在1月份的新闻发布会上表示，经济仍然强劲，但全球经济增长放缓、贸易谈判持续以及包括英国脱欧在内的国际政治不确定性。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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