避险买盘助力黄金多头
关键词：避险买盘
1月10日，现货黄金出现持续上涨，因美联储会议纪要符合鸽派预期，美元创下新低，黄金上涨的压力得到缓解。而市场对美元2019年的看空预期越来越强。中美贸易协议进展顺利，同时美国政府持续关门，英国脱欧协议反对声音较大，带给黄金一定的避险需求。
美联储会议纪要公布显示，美联储可能会在进一步加息方面保持耐心，美联储应该评估在近月变得更加严重的风险影响，加息立场更为谨慎，经济下行风险可能会有所增加。美元随即大跌，周四创2018年10月17日以来新低至95.0238。毫无疑问，美元是阻碍黄金冲高的最强力量，但是这股力量正在走弱。
美国总统特朗普与国会民主党代表的会谈似乎又谈崩了，政府依然不能开门。美国总统特朗普则表示，与美国国会参议院民主党领袖舒默和美国国会众议院民主党领导人Pelosi的会面纯属浪费时间 。
美联储对美国经济前景表达了审慎看法，2018年真正支撑经济的两大因素正在消失。政府停摆对美国经济正在产生影响，尽管短期影响有限，但长期而言将带来政治不稳定的担忧，以及对经济增长的影响。这也将打压美元，增加黄金的避险需求，且随着时间发展会越来越明显。
1月7日至9日，中美双方在北京举行经贸问题副部级磋商。双方积极落实两国元首重要共识，就共同关注的贸易问题和结构性问题进行了广泛、深入、细致的交流，增进了相互理解，为解决彼此关切问题奠定了基础。双方同意继续保持密切联系。 乐观的市场预期一度提振了风险资产，然而随着预期实现，黄金再度重返归来，主要是谈判远不是结束，未来仍有诸多变数，黄金仍具备其他资产少于的避险属性。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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