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美元温和反弹,多头盼望非农

关键词:美元反弹

12月5日,现货黄金价格从五个交易日高位回落,因美元指数小幅度上扬。金价主要随着美元的走势而波动,金价的走势属于适当回调。而本周将迎来美国非农报告,若是数据不佳,可能进一步动摇市场对美联储加息的信心,同时施压美元为金价提供支撑。

美元指数维持涨幅,即使美债收益率下滑引发对经济成长的担忧限制其上行空间。美国10年期公债收益率跌至9月中旬以来最低水准。10年期与2年期公债利差也缩至2008年1月金融危机初始以来最窄,对一些投资者而言,这意味着经济放缓迫近。

本周后期将迎来重磅数据,即美国11月非农就业报告,由于最近美联储“鹰鸽不定”态度,并表示接下来的加息将主要取决于经济数据,因此非农数据出炉更显其重要。若数据不佳,可能进一步动摇市场对美联储明年加息的信心,施压美元为金价提供支撑。

地缘局势方面,12月11日英国脱欧协议将会在议会进行投票,若最终不能通过议会表决,那么对英镑来说将是一场灾难,届时可能再度引发市场恐慌,金价有望从中渔利。

本周金价突破连接10月26日和11月7日高点的下降趋势线,暗示将重启自11月13日低点1196美元/盎司以来的升势,日图看涨,因金价位于上升的10日均线1226美元/盎司上方。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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