国会分裂缓解欧元，希望寄予特朗
关键词：中期选举结果
美国中期选举尘埃落定，如市场预测产生分裂国会，这对于总统特朗普来说，难以进一步推进内部刺激政策。同时美国经济增速放缓以及特朗普政策中心向外转移的担忧也带动了欧元有所上涨。同时特朗普即将召开新闻发布会，特朗普额表态将显得尤为重要。
中期选举落幕，美国步入分裂国会阶段，投资者们担心市场可能会出现对于特朗普难以推进内部刺激政策、2019年美国经济增速放缓以及特朗普政策重心向外转移的担忧，冲击美元提振欧元兑美元一度重回1.1500的逾两周高位。
据美国多家媒体当地时间周二(11月6日)晚报道，民主党在当天举行的中期选举中夺回国会众议院控制权，共和党则进一步巩固了参议院多数党地位，美国国会将再度进入“分裂”时代。
与此同时，美债收益率的持续下滑及冒险情绪的升温均支撑欧元，不过仍需观察多头是否有能力继续扩大涨势，目前意大利预算忧虑持续，特别是此前欧元区各国财政部长集体喊话，要求意大利方面修改预算案，但意大利方面认定高赤字实属必要。
现任众议院少数党领袖、民主党人佩洛西则表示，新一届国会将对白宫进行制衡。最新消息显示，白宫发言人桑德斯表示，美国总统特朗普将于北京时间周四0:30举行新闻发布会。
欧元兑美元年底前仍有可能跌破1.13关口，不过这将为在2019年中期做多提供很好的入场时机，建议投资者可考虑在汇价跌近2017年7月26日高位1.1220时入场做多。
如果弗里德里希·默茨接替默克尔担任教民主联盟主席，欧元兑美元可能会升至1.32，尽管默兹将标志着政治权利的转变，但外界认为他更支持欧元区一体化，这将有助于提振欧元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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