贸易战波及股市，金价紧守千二关口
关键词：贸易战进展
8月31日，现货黄金价格上涨，投资者为应对股市下跌风险进行对冲。不过黄金估计录得2013年以来持续最久的月线跌势。加拿大和美国就北美自由贸易协定进行协商，但未能达成协议，投资者目前最为关切的是中美的第二轮贸易战。
分析师表示：“最近一周时间里，全球风险事件不断，金价在1200美元附近受到良好支撑。北美自由贸易协定面临生死裁决，而美国很有可能对另外2000亿美元中国进口商品加征关税。”
分析师补充道；“投资者担心股市可能出现大幅下挫，加上金价1200美元附近存在良好支撑，遂做多黄金对冲相应风险。”
此前加拿大和美国的谈判代表连夜就北美自由贸易协定进行了磋商，美国总统特朗普将周五设定为谈判的最后期限。而投资者最关切的是可能开打的美中第二轮贸易战。
交易商也表示，美元近来下跌利好中国方面的买需，因为中国是全球最大的金属消费国。
不过今年以来，金价已经挫跌近7.7%。美联储年内加息次数预期由年初的3次提升到4次，土耳其货币危机，加上国际贸易纷争，美元总体上盖过黄金，成为了避险资金的新宠。
同时，投资者继续抽离黄金ETF市场流动性。全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的资金从7月23日至今呈现持续流出状态，年初至今持仓规模下降9个百分点。
分析师表示：“黄金ETF市场资金持续流出，金市投机性空头头寸创历史新高，以及良好的美国经济数据等都是金价面临的逆风，当前的价格反弹走势很可能命不长。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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