今夜美国GDP数据强势来袭 美元或见顶?
关键词:美元 金价
美国总统特朗普“炮轰”美联储主席鲍威尔、鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔央行年会发表偏鸽派言论、美墨达成贸易协议等等令美元面临诸多麻烦。8月28日两大顶尖机构——德意志银行和PIMCO都发出美元见顶的警告。周二美元虽然受强劲经济数据的推动而展开反弹,但这并不表明美元前景已经变得明朗,投资者仍将关注后续出炉的一系列经济指标,周三美国将发布GDP数据,这对于美元多头而言又将是一个考验。今夜美国GDP数据强势来袭,美元或见顶!
特朗普与包威尔发话,美元一度跌破96关口
8月27日,特朗普政府宣布与墨西哥达成双边贸易协议,该消息令市场避险情绪降温,对当日美元构成打压。北京时间周一23:00,据外媒报道,美国高级官员表示,美国正式与墨西哥就北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)达成协议。
由于美联储加速收紧政策的可能性降低,美元已经处于守势。鲍威尔在美联储杰克逊霍尔的年度会议上发表了备受关注的讲话。他对美国经济表示有信心,他不认为通胀会失去控,没有明确的迹象显示通胀会加速超过2%,美联储将采取措施保持通胀预期稳定。他还指出逐步加息可能是合适的。
受上周要员重要讲话的各种因素影响,美元指数当时跌破96关口。
聚焦美国GDP 金价从两周高点回落
周二,在美元指数低迷不振之际,由于最新出炉的美国消费者信心指数创下近18年高位,多头受到提振短线上涨。美国8月谘商会消费者信心指数升至133.4,创下近18年新高。
周二纽约尾盘,彭博美元即期指数上涨0.2%,为三个交易日来首次上涨;盘中一度下跌多达0.3%。因强劲消费者信心数据刺激美元反弹,金价从两周高点回落。纽约商品交易所12月交割黄金期货周二收盘下跌0.1%,报1,214.40美元/盎司,盘中金价一度升至1,220.70美元美元/盎司。
夜间重磅数据来袭 美元或再被压
北京时间今夜20:30,美国将公布第二季度实际国内生产总值(GDP)修正值。这将是日内最为重磅的经济数据。外媒调查显示,美国第二季度GDP年化季率修正值料为上升4.0%,升幅较4.1%的初值有所回落。
如果今晚GDP数据利好,那么美元有望进一步反弹,而黄金也将面临下行的风险。若GDP数据表现不佳,可能会引发外界对美国经济增长的担忧,从而对美元再次构成打压。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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