黄金大煞风景，改头换面要靠贸易战
6月21日，现货黄金价格触及六个月低位，因美元指数受美债收益率上升支撑而持坚，且美联储主席维持对利率升高的展望。但企业信心或因为贸易战受挫，迫使全球主要央行调整政策前景展望，金价跌势或趋缓。
周四(6月21日)，现货黄金价格触及六个月低位，因美元指数受美债收益率上升支撑而持坚，且美联储主席鲍威尔维持对利率升高的展望。但有分析认为，企业信心或因为贸易战受挫，迫使全球主要央行调整政策前景展望，金价跌势或趋缓。
分析师称：“金价陷入顽固的跌势，这主要受到美元指数走强影响。”美元走强导致其他货币持有者购买黄金的成本上升。
鲍威尔周三(6月20日)表示，美国就业市场看上去并没有过度紧促，美联储应继续在强劲的经济背景下逐步升息，以平衡就业和通胀目标。
鲍威尔称：“由于经济强劲，经济前景的风险均衡，继续逐步升息的理据仍强劲。失业率可能进一步下滑，但由于薪资增长目前温和，就业市场并不是过度趋紧。”
分析师表示，美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话推动美元走强，并拖累金价下跌。
上周美联储将指标联邦基金利率目标区间上调至1.75-2%，为今年第二次加息(也是本轮政策从紧周期以来的第七次)；同时还将今年余下时间升息次数预估上调至两次，较3月预估多了一次。
美国商务部长罗斯称，白宫可能将继续对中国施压，试图就获得中国市场的更大准入及缩减同美方的贸易顺差达成协议。
在全球最大的几个经济体之间酝酿的贸易战正在打压企业信心，并可能迫使各央行调降对前景的展望，此举将会限制金价后市跌幅。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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