中美贸易摩擦担忧被原油需求缓解
4月10日,国际原油价格连续第二日大幅上涨,因市场预计中国与美国之间的贸易争端有望得到解决,不会对全球经济构成更大的打击。上周末,油价收盘暴跌近2%。
但油价仍处于近期区间内,因油市仍然面临供应充裕的问题。供应充足给油企带来压力,需要保持油价竞争力以免失去市场份额。
中国国家主席习近平周二在博鳌亚洲论坛2018年年会开幕式上发表主旨演讲时做出承诺,中国经济将进一步扩大开放,降低进口关税。
外界认为,中国领导人的讲话降低了市场对中美两国贸易摩擦升级的担忧。
分析师称:“随着市场对中美两国贸易摩擦升级的担忧缓解,原油价格得以大幅攀升。”
此前因市场担心全球最大的两个经济体可能陷入旷日持久的贸易纷争,加上市场还担心美国可能对全球主要产油国发起新的制裁,最近几个交易日以来,原油价格波动明显放大。
交易商还表示,美国周度原油库存报告将给市场提供进一步指引。美国石油协会(API)数据将于周二晚些时候出炉,而官方的能源资料协会(EIA)数据将在周三(4月11日)公布。
总体来看,OPEC引领的集体减产行动执行率甚高,对原油价格起到了应有的支撑作用,但美国原油产量飙升则持续威胁OPEC收紧市场供给的愿望。自2016年年中以来,美国原油产量大幅跳升近25%至1046万桶/日,超越全球第第一大原油出口国沙特,直逼俄罗斯的1100万桶/日产量。
有消息称,鉴于沙特阿美公司超预期上调官方出口定价,一些亚洲买家打算在5月份寻求替代油源,削减从沙特进口原油的规模。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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