黄金多头难露，政府危机化解
美国两党领袖达成预算协议，政府关门危机有望化解的消息提振美指站上90关口，不过分析师认为，持续扩大的美国双赤字将冲击美元，中期内恐延续跌势。
周四(2月8日)欧市盘中，美元指数窄幅震荡走高后上摸至时段内高点90.57，现回吐涨幅交投于90.29一线。
周三(2月7日)美国参议院两党领袖麦康奈尔和舒默达成一项为期两年的预算协议，该协议将提供近3000亿美元的额外资金，不但有望避免美国政府于周五(2月9日)再度关门，并将结束长达数月的开支优先问题。此消息带动美元延续反弹之势，并再度站上90关口。
分析师表示，导致该行结构性看空美元的又一关键主导因素开始显现，但由于本周美股的大跌引人注目，最新公布的美国贸易帐几乎未受市场重视。
周二(2月6日)公布数据显示，美国12月贸易逆差531亿美元，预期逆差521亿美元，前值逆差504亿美元。上述报告显示美国12月贸易帐再度显著恶化，贸易逆差为全球金融危机以来最阔水平。
美国政府乐见贸易赤字逆差，而最新数据显然与官方预期背道而驰，可能加重市场忧虑，不断扩大的贸易逆差将为特朗普政府施加越来越大的压力来实施保护主义贸易政策。
整体而言该行持续认为，极有可能持续扩大的美国双赤字将在中长期内利空美元
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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