美联储决策会议,黄金空头迎来终结
1月31日,现货黄金价格上涨,远离前一交易日所及一周低位,因美元兑一篮子主要货币下跌,而且交易商等待美联储政策会议的结果出炉。3月若升息并不令人意外,但升息速度若有调整则可能对金价升势构成风险。
周三(1月31日),现货黄金价格上涨,远离前一交易日所及一周低位,因美元兑一篮子主要货币下跌,而且交易商等待美联储政策会议的结果出炉。
金价有望连续第三个月上涨,1月迄今已涨3.1%,为8月以来表现最佳的月份,主要是因为美元疲弱。OANDA亚太区交易主管Stephen Innes表示,3月若升息并不令人意外,但升息速度若有调整则可能对金价升势构成风险。
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分析师表示:“特朗普的演说重心放在国家安全和移民上,这也是金价上涨的原因。至于基础建设支出,没什么特别的。”
特朗普在国情咨文演说中,敦促国会通过立法确保至少1.5万亿美元的基建新支出。他还敦促存在严重分歧的共和党和民主党人在移民和基础设施问题上互相让步。
美联储周三料将维持利率不变,同时暗示今年稍晚将逐步紧缩货币政策,因美国经济持续扩张且就业增长仍强劲。交易商并等待美国周五公布的就业报告。
分析师表示,目前美联储很可能不会对经济和通胀前景评估做出重大调整。他并称,即使有重大调整,也可能是“未来的事情”。他说:“既然市场人士似乎已经接受今年美联储再升息三次的预期,美元从即将公布的政策声明中获得提振的可能性似乎很低。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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