美联储加息计划过于冲动,物价水平堪忧
美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德称,现在美国的物价水平,要远低于美联储若是实现2%通胀目标的情况下会有的水平,他表示这种趋势“堪忧”。
布拉德担忧美联储加息路径
布拉德在为日本一场演讲中称,美国物价现在比1995-2012年形成的物价路径低4.6%,那段时期中美国每年的通胀率都接近美联储2%的目标。
布拉德称:“虽然这没有1990年代日本物价形势那样严峻,但也令人堪忧。”他今年没有对美国货币政策的投票权。
自大衰退以来美联储因通胀过低而没有升息的次数超过三次,但去年年底后,大多数美联储决策者预计未来升息步伐加快,称因就业市场改善。
美国4月失业率为4.4%,低于美联储官员认为的可持续水平。大多数联储官员预计今年升息三次,包括3月会议上那次升息。
他表示,鉴于通胀率仍低于2%,且自从美联储3月升息以来通胀预期及美债收益率均下滑,联储的升息计划也许“过于激进”。
外界预计美联储6月会议将升息,届时联储也将公布新的经济预估。
布拉德认为经济还处于低通胀、低增长的老路,他曾表示美联储应该仅再升息一次,然后暂停升息直到经济明确转向快车道。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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