美债收益率持稳，因政府公司债供应和避险需求同步增加
美国国债收益率3月6日在窄幅交易区间内持稳，两年期美债收益率处于七年半高位下方，因投资者为本周的大量政府和企业债出售留出空间。
投资者还在消化上周收益率的大量升幅，受包括美联储主席耶伦在内的官员的讲话带动。交易员预计美联储将在下周的政策会议上将利率上调四分之一个百分点。
如果2月就业报告远弱于预期，美联储仍有可能不加息，但从现在来看，交易员认为加息是板上钉钉的事情。
根据CME Group的FedWatch，联邦基金利率期货走势暗示，交易员消化的下次会议上加息的概率为86%，高于上周五收盘时的80%。
根据商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的数据，投机客逐渐增加了对收益率看涨的押注，上周10年期美债看空押注创纪录高位。
基准10年期美债持平于2.494%，30年期美债收益率升2个基点，至3.101%。
两年期美债收益率小幅走高至1.309%，上周五触及1.345%，为2009年8月以来的最高盘中水平。交易员对利率的看法在两年期美债上表现的最为敏感。
股市下跌，此前朝鲜发射四颗弹道导弹，美国总统特朗普指责前任奥巴马对其进行监听，激发了一些美债的避险买盘。
美债收益率攀升，因包括麦当劳和Nordstrom在内的11家企业计划发行债券，其中8家的发行计划包括10年期和/或30年期债券。
数家银行自上周五以来发出看空美债的预测。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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