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德国6月GfK消费者信心指数创去年9月来最高

周三(5月25日),德国市场研究机构GfK调查显示,今年6月德国GfK消费者信心指数升至9.8,创2015年9月以来最高,前值为9.7。德国6月消费者信心指数有所改善,说明私人消费依然是德国经济的重要支柱。

GfK研究人员Rolf Buerkl表示,“消费者仍旧认为德国经济将在未来数月持续温和增长。”而德国民众的消费能力在高就业率、实质薪资增加、借款成本超低的支撑下持续提升。

不过,GfK也指出,德国依旧面临英国退欧公投及希腊债务问题等不确定性因素。

调查还显示,市场对德国经济的预期指数上升2点至8.3。

但是,消费者对明年的所得不那么看好,所得预期分项指数下滑近6点至51.8,为今年3月以来最低。

薪资预期下降可能反映了对本月德国数家工会达成的加薪协议的失望,分析师称今年的加薪幅度不如去年;这些德国工会代表着逾600万名雇员。

Buerkl表示,尽管该指数下降,但仍处于高于50的“良好状态”,Buerkl对今年通胀将维持低位的预期,意味着加薪将使企业雇员有更多钱去消费。

同时,购买意愿改善逾2个点至57.7,此为12个月来最高水平。

Buerkl指出,“德国消费者仍非常愿意购物,该指标大概是受益于关于负利率的讨论,该讨论是因欧洲央行(ECB)的货币政策而再度引发。”


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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