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德国就业数据表现良好 坐等GDP数据

关键词:GDP数据前瞻

周四欧市,德国方面发布了好于预期的就业数据,该数据支撑欧元兑美元小幅反弹走高,不过欧元兑美元始终维持疲软态势,在德国良好数据公布后再度下挫。隔夜美联储意外鹰派的议息会议,打压欧元兑美元重挫。汇价最低跌至1.2555。稍后投资者重点关注欧元区公布的10月经济景气指数数据,以及晚间美国公布的包括GDP在内的一系列重要的经济数据。

在今日凌晨2点美联储方面公布了意外鹰派的措辞轮调,迫使国际现货黄金价格连番受压,也如昨日文章提到的,黄金在失守1220美元/盎司的情况下,局面转为恶化,而今晚美国第三季度GDP数据将决定1200美元/盎司关口的命运。

显然,市场还沉浸在美联储鹰派氛围中,在亚欧时段,黄金价格疲惫不堪,最低已经逼近1200美元/盎司关口,技术指标上偏空强烈。若晚间美国GDP数据好于预期值,那么黄金将瞬间跌破1200美元/盎司的心理关口,进一步下探1180美元/盎司。预计1180美元/盎司的支持力仍然对黄金有效。因黄金在触及1200美元/盎司关口,受开采成本价制约下跌幅度,当然一切都不能排除意外。

至于美联储的效应能持续多久,预计如果今日黄金在收盘于1200美元/盎司上方,明日或有望出现止跌几率,但短期头为主。

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