世界黄金组织市场分析存在些许误导性
关键词：世界黄金组织
新一周开始，黄金继续交投于1215.00美元/盎司低位。白银则交投于17.45美元/盎司。在美国数据显示美国经济复苏强劲后，上周五(9月26日)贵金属交易出现分歧。白银因其是基本金属而获得很好的支持，而第三种贵金属铂金价格因受强势美元影响一度下跌至15个月来低点。
美国政府周一(9月29日)公布的数据显示，美国第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算增长上涨4.6%，好于此前估测的4.2%，符合彭博调查经济学家所得的预期中值。本月初经济合作与发展组织(OECD)下调了美国2014年经济增长预期，交易商预期美国第二季度GDP将下降。衡量通胀的数据与消费者物价指数(CPI)和扣除食品和能源相关，美国8月CPI年率攀升0.25。上周黄金价格触及8个月新低。
本周投资者对贵金属的投资兴趣持续下降。白金交易持量在7月触及纪录高点后，现维持在4个月来低点水平。本周截止目前黄金与白银的持有量同样下跌。
世界黄金协会(WGC)发布的最新报告显示，即使经济危机和政治动乱仍然存在，但黄金的需求在持续扩大，黄金不再是安全避风港了。
世界黄金协会表示，最新的分析呈现了教授的发现。分析指出：“在所有其他条件相同的情况下，GDP增加1%，珠宝消费将增加平均5%。因为黄金首饰就是经济学家所称的‘优越的’好……需求增加按比例超过收入，同样，5:1的比例仍适用于电子产品需求与GDP增长。”
尽管黄金的投资需求比珠宝购买更小，但投资需求的改变可以是巨大的，这在市场中扮演着至关重要的摇摆角色。黄金投资与世界黄金协会的评论一致，能在短期内对价格施加强压。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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