下半年黄金需求强劲
关键词：实物黄金需求
世界黄金协会（WGC）驻印度高级官员在最近的采访中透露，2014年下半年印度黄金需求将会强劲增长，最终拉动全年需求将会回升。
WGC驻印度珠宝部门总经理表示，“长期来看，我们认为（印度需求的）基本面仍十分强劲。现在节日季已经开始，结婚纪念日也即将拉开序幕，预计会带动850-950吨的实物黄金需求。”
从整年来考虑，特别是经过3季度的强劲表现之后，我们认为基本面非常稳固和强劲。印度人民在结婚季的黄金消费可以占据总体的50%。对印度黄金市场的未来也充满信心，他声称，“在过去的5年中，印度黄金市场的平均需求在800吨左右，这是非常巨大的数量。”他坚信印度黄金市场长期前景非常健康、强劲。
另外，昨日德拉吉发表讲话称，欧元区经济复苏似乎已经失去动能。如有必要，欧洲央行准备好在授权范围内使用额外的非常规工具。不过，德拉吉依然重申，并未看到欧元区出现“日本式通缩”，预计今年下半年欧元区经济依旧能实现温和增长。受此影响，在昨日欧洲交易时段，欧元兑美元汇率一度跌穿1.27水平，创下近22个月以来的新低。自7月初以来，欧元兑美元汇率累计贬值超过6.6%，创下自2011年第三季度以来的最差表现，那时正值欧债危机的高峰期，市场担心欧元区将瓦解。
欧元贬值的主要原因在于欧洲央行自6月以来推出的多项宽松货币政策。不过，加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师灵格斯表示，欧洲央行并没有以汇率为目标，汇率贬值给欧元区出口带来的推动作用要大于日本。瑞银分析师预计，欧元每贬值10%就能提振欧元区非金融企业收益提高3%，鉴于当前欧元区非金融企业的收益增幅是个位数，汇率贬值起到明显提振作用。
与欧元不同，美元近期表现相当抢眼，俨然成为了全球“最牛”货币。在昨日欧洲交易时段，美元指数一度升至85.47，刷新近4年以来的新高。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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