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金市投资情绪或恶化

关键词:黄金走势

汇丰银行周一在报告中称,今年9月为止,全球14大主要黄金ETF持仓量累计减少42.2万盎司。截至9月4日,这14大主要黄金ETF的持仓量共计5510万盎司,较8月底的5550万盎司下滑。

汇丰银行表示,相比去年的大规模清算,今年为止黄金ETF持仓流动总体稳定,但近期却再次出现外流趋势,暗示投资者正将资金从黄金ETF中撤出,以投资风险资产。

该行指出,黄金ETF持仓流出似乎也很好地证明最近美股标普500指数有史以来首次突破2000点,即资金从黄金ETF中转入股市。以这样的发展来看,如果未来美股继续走高,那么黄金ETF持仓外流情况可能进一步恶化,从而令金价承压。

另外,据花旗研究机构称,8月全球黄金ETF流出的20吨将此前7月流入的差不多15吨抵消殆尽。

上周,全球黄金ETF的价值跌破700亿美元,这是今年6月中旬以来的第一次,总持有量为1713吨,为第三季度以来最低水平。此外,花旗称,在此前几个交易日中,金价的波动性有所减弱。

“即使有欧洲央行宣布资产购买计划,还有疲软的美国非农数据,黄金投资者们的动作也并不大。有偏鹰派的美联储、偏鸽派的欧洲央行和日本央行,在这样的情况下,看起来这些因素早已经体现在了金价中,而非2013年美联储刚要开始缩减那样。”花旗认为,这抑制了黄金市场的波动性。

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