若央行将10%外储转为黄金将影响供应
关键字：外汇储备
2014年第二季度，全球各国央行买入了117.8吨黄金，去年同期的买入量为92.1，同比增长了28%。而央行们已经连续14个季度净买入黄金。
据世界黄金协会(WGC)称：“全球的经济和地域争端问题是局势持续不稳和不确定的根源，这些事件使得央行需要通过黄金储备来多样化资产，来对风险有所管理。”
各国央行买入黄金也被认为是在慢慢远离美元，用黄金代替美元。
第二季度中，俄罗斯买入了54吨黄金，哈萨克斯坦买入了7吨，塔吉克斯坦买入了3吨黄金，这三家央行买入的黄金占二季度全球央行所有黄金买入量的54%。
德国和法国这样的央行就不会再买那么多黄金，因为他们本身已经有了足够的黄金储备。
然而，在央行都在买黄金，金币销量上升等背景下，金价却没有上涨。当然，对此早就流传已久的对金价的认为操控理论再次被认定为理由。虽然说金价操纵是谁也无法下定论的猜测，但黄金市场有一些事实却是很清楚的。
自去年金价下跌以来，各大矿企就撤走了很多勘探的费用，在2011年金价1800美元/盎司时，矿企的成本不显眼，但在目前1300美元/盎司的水平下，矿企遇到了很大困难。勘探减少，意味着黄金的供应会减少。
据国际货币基金组织(IMF)数据显示，2013年年底各国央行总共的外汇储备为11万亿美元，如果各国央行拿出其中的10%去购买黄金，那么黄金的供应将很成问题。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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