黄金跟原油比实在太便宜
关键字：黄金价格
受伊拉克局势的影响，周四(6月12日)金价大涨约1%，突破1270美元/盎司上方。
随着乌克兰局势淡出人们的视野，黄金的避险需求本已渐渐消散，但伊拉克忽然爆发动乱，使得金价再度因避险需求上涨。
此次危机使得市场担忧伊拉克有大规模爆发战争，回到之前六年混乱状态的可能，这为黄金带来避险需求。中东地区的局势正在快速发展中。
在周四，伊拉克和叙利亚的逊尼派武装分子ISIS占领了伊拉克北部城市摩苏尔和提特里克，并且非常接近伊拉克首都巴格达。目前的伊拉克政府被什叶派所掌控。
伊拉克局势首先影响的是原油价格，Nymex原油价格突破106美元/桶，至8个月最高水平。
黄金和原油价格走势通常是比较一致的，因原油价格上涨会推动通胀，也就推动了黄金需求。从目前的金价/油价来看，黄金的价值显然是被低估了的。
自1970年起，金价和油价的比率的平均水平是15，而目前则在12下方，表明相对原油，黄金变得更便宜了。
上一次该比率在12时，正是2008年10月到11月全球爆发金融危机时。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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