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季风影响印度收入 或打击黄金需求

关键字:黄金需求

在国际金价近期开始下跌后,印度国内金价也同样有所下跌,目前跌至456美元/10克(差不多1300美元/盎司)左右,是11个月来的最低水平。并且由于价格的下跌,消费者们又重新涌向了金店。

此外,周一(6月2日)印度政府下调了黄金和白银的进口关税依据价格,分别降至408美元/10克(约1156美元/盎司)和617美元/公斤(约17.49美元/盎司)。

印度国内零售商认为,近期印度央行允许更多机构进口黄金的举措表明了对黄金消费的顾虑,这可能在2014年推高印度的黄金需求5%到7%,去年全年印度黄金需求975吨。

印度黄金零售商Manoj Thakkar称,该国国内黄金价格升水从110美元/盎司下跌到了35美元/盎司。“在央行允许更多机构进口黄金后,升水有所下降,现在是更好的时机。”

不过令一方面,今年季风季不佳可能影响印度的黄金需求,进而影响该国金价。

据瑞银(UBS)报告称,今年印度的季风季将晚到差不多10天,并且受到厄尔尼诺现象的影响。糟糕的季风季意外着收成被影响,而印度的农民则对黄金有着大量需求,他们的收入对黄金需求有很大影响。

数据显示,印度农村地区占印度全部黄金需求的60%,季风季的好坏将对黄金需求有很大影响。

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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