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风险偏好有所提升 现货黄金压力重重

关键字:现货黄金走势

【行情回顾】

周五欧洲时段,国际现货黄金再度出现一波小幅下跌,由于德国销售数据不佳,导致欧元和大宗商品出现承压,使黄金也出现了一波跳水走势。现货黄金现正交投于1255一线位置,回吐了今日早盘的反弹涨幅,而黄金的走势处于弱势当中,短期内上行压力依然巨大。

【基本面分析】

花旗集团近日发表评论称,考虑到俄罗斯和乌克兰之间持续的紧张局势,黄金短期内将小幅走高。但除此以外,能推动黄金价格上行因素非常有限。

澳新银行的报告指出,黄金价格的支撑近期是相当脆弱的,黄金近期在1266美元/盎司附近试探了不下三次,但是最终还是失败了,黄金价格因此进一步下破。

综合上述观点来看,即便是一直唱空的空头高盛,最低也就看到1050美元附近,可见1000美元可能是市场的“心理底线”。当然,未来的一段时间之内,市场依然就欧美风险事件进行抽丝剥茧,料将对黄金产生进一步的影响,而黄金离1000美元的心理关口尚有一段距离,因此市场上观望态度成为了主流,贸然抄底可能会承受一定的风险。

【技术分析】

隔日现货黄金延续前一个交易日的震荡回落过程,盘中最高触及1260一线点位下方后开始回落最低给出了1251一线点位之后行情再次冲高1260,最终日线收线于1255一线点位,以一根下影线稍长于上影线的小阴线收线,而这样的小阴收线之后,日线上就形成了典型的黑三兵的结构,市场上空头趋势相当明显。

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