美国经济数据良好 现货黄金惨遭打压
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
在经历了将近一个月的连续横盘震荡之后,最终国际现货黄金迎来了一波跳水大跌。因周二公布的美国一系列经济数据均优于预期,引发了黄金市场大量的技术性卖盘,国际金价最终大跌逾2%至三个多月低位。由现阶段的金价走势来看,黄金选择向下突破的可能性非常之大。
【基本面分析】
美国商务部(DOC)周二公布的数据显示,美国4月耐用品订单月率增长0.8%,远优于预期的下跌0.5%,前值上修正至增长3.6%。而数据编撰机构Markit周二公布的一份调查报告显示,美国5月服务业扩张速度为2012年3月以来最快,因创造就业速度加快。美国5月服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)初值为58.4,3月终值为55.0。
美国经济谘商会(Conference Board)周二称,美国5月咨商会消费者信心指数上升至83.0,4月消费者信心指数被下修至81.7,前值公布为82.3。
美国达拉斯联储(Dallas Fed)周二发布报告称,美国5月达拉斯联储企业活动指数为8.0,预期为9.5,4月为11.7。
由于最新的美国经济数据均好于市场预期,导致市场在昨晚出现大量技术性卖盘和触发性止损卖盘的情况下,现货黄金出现了大幅度下跌。而由于经济数据做好,若周四晚间的就业数据和GDP数据均有较好表现得情况下,市场将会预期美联储提早退出QE和提前加息,届时金价和可能正式开启下行通道。
【技术分析】
由日K线图上看,由于昨日国际现货黄金的大阴线走势,一举击穿了已经维持了五周之久的横盘震荡平台,同时支撑近期金价走势的均线也被轻易击穿,使均线系统也呈现空头迹象。短期内,国际现货黄金的走势并不乐观。由于三角形区间整理过后,黄金走势选择向下突破的可能性较大,因此我们大田金业建议投资者近期做单以做空为主。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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