市场静待美国数据 现货黄金有所回升
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘初,国际现货黄金白银价格盘中受空头回补推动,黄金刷新日内高点1292.09美元,白银回升至19.37美元附近。复活节假期后,伦敦金行情走势依旧低迷,就日内看,除了晚间纽约时段将公布美国成屋销售总数之外,再无重要数据公布,预计贵金属晚上仍有承压的可能性。
【基本面分析】
乌克兰方面,目前局势仍保持稳定,并没有出现恶化的风险,这使得金价难以获得避险情绪,日内欧美都复市,市场波动性可能会加大,不过市场仍需要新的推动因素才能令方向明朗。而乌克兰局势加剧会增加黄金利好因素。日内瓦初步协议并没有很好的付诸实践,亲俄武装分子并没有向乌克兰政府表现出屈服倾向。美国和欧洲官员强调,如果亲俄分子不从前两个星期占领的东部政府大楼撤退,俄罗斯将会面临新一轮经济制裁。
4月15日结束当周的报告中,黄金净多头头寸被减少到了90137手,是2月11日以来的最低水平。非商业性多头头寸减少了2616手,空头头寸则增加了4712手,目前的净多头头寸为113558手,同样是自2月11日以来的最低水平。商业性方面目前则处在净空头状态中,不过连续第二周增加的多头头寸超过空头头寸。
【技术分析】
国际现货黄金亚盘维持震荡,市场交投清淡,波幅有限,进入欧盘初现货黄金小幅反弹,预计在晚间美盘前还会维持震荡。由于晚间有关美国的成屋销售数据需重点关注,其次今晚美联储前任主席伯南克将发表题为“美联储八年的危机管理以及未来的道路”的演讲,将会影响黄金的走势。黄金下方1285形成短期支撑,仍会维持震荡,突破1291,会继续反弹,跌破1285,短线会继续走空。
【操作建议】
1285做多,止损1282,目标1290;
1291做空,止损1294,目标1283;
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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