美国或制裁普京 现货黄金略有反弹
关键字：现货黄金行情
【基本面分析】
本周市场的焦点包括欧元区宽松政策推行时间以及乌克兰局势是否会继续恶化。其中，欧洲方面，欧央行关于货币政策的言论仍然是牵动市场情绪的主要因素。虽然近期欧元升值情况有所缓和，但是如果欧央行迟迟不采取行动，欧元又将面临升值压力。
而乌克兰方面，上周四方会谈达成的日内瓦协议只是短暂地缓和了当前局势，而事实证明，此协议更大程度上是一纸空文，达成协议不足两日，乌克兰局势再度恶化，俄乌双方相互指责，而美国更是发表声明称对俄罗斯总统普京实施个人的制裁。预计目前欧央行料不会在短期内推行宽松政策，一方面是欧元区流动性匮乏并不是很明显，另一方面欧央行需要参考美联储宽松政策结束时间。而短期内乌克兰局势仍有待进一步观察，一旦局势进一步恶化，会再度引起避险资金流入市场。
【技术分析】
根据我们对现货黄金走势分析来看，近几个交易日空方已经完全掌控了黄金的走势节奏，并推动金价逐步逼近100日均线1278.70美元的关键支撑区域，该位置同时也接近4月1日低位1277.40美元。而金价的初步阻力在1307.10美元，更关键的阻力在4月14日高位1331.40美元。因此，金价必须收在1307.10美元上方才能扭转当前的劣势，进一步修复1331.40美元则意味着短期反弹。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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