耶伦强调低通胀风险 黄金现货反弹
关键字：黄金现货走势
【行情回顾】
因周三公布的美国经济数据参差不齐，同时耶伦讲话并未透露新信息，黄金现货日内基本企稳。不过，近日乌克兰局势可能升级成内战，料对金价构成一定支撑。周四亚市早盘，国际现货黄金交投于1302美元/盎司，隔夜耶伦讲话释放宽松预期，致使金价暂时的喘息契机，美股也出现了连续三天的反弹，可见美联储宽松的货币政策对于金融市场来说仍是相当之重要，
【基本面分析】
美国经济数据好坏各半，美国商务部(DOC)周三公布的数据显示，美国3月新屋开工总数年化为94.6万户，预期97.5万户，前值92.0万户，不及市场预期，主要受该国部分气温较高的地区新屋开工下滑所拖累。这或表明全球第一大经济体的建筑业复苏将有所放缓。虽然气候的转暖，再加上春季销售季节的开始，提振美国东北部和中西部地区的房产活动，但是抵押贷款利率的回调、工资增幅的缓慢，以及紧缩的信贷政策，抑制美国建筑业的复苏势头，从而影响潜在买家的需求。
美联储主席耶伦周三表示，对美国经济而言，持续低通胀是比物价上涨更直接的威胁。她强调联储在未来一段时期会实行政策刺激。在执掌美联储以来的第二次公开讲话中，耶伦谨慎地没有预言何时会将利率从零水准上调。相反，她强调升息决定将取决于就业市场的康复，以及通胀率能够多快升至联储的2%目标水准。
【技术分析】
根据我们大田贵金属分析，经过前天的大跌之后，短期内空头的力量已经得到充分宣泄，在当前的技术形态上看，黄金现货修复1300关口后预计再次出现大跌的可能性不大，而且1300关口和200日均线这两大重要支撑基本出现重合状态，说明这1300点位置的支撑力度将会相当强。由均线形态上看，除了5日均线有拐头向下的迹象以外，其余均线大多走平，预示黄金现在仍然处于震荡整理当中。由于今晚美国有重要数据出炉，这或许能为金价指引方向。
【操作建议】
做多：1293开仓 止盈1301 止损1285
做空：1310开仓 止盈1304 止损1318
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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