中美经济数据开好 现货黄金走势偏弱
关键字:本日欧盘国际现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
4月16日欧市开盘时段,国际现货黄金呈现弱势整理,价位继续在1300附近徘徊,成交量较为平淡,最高价和最低价间波幅不超8美元。
【基本面分析】
国家统计局本日公布,一季度国内生产总值GDP同比增长7.4%,略低於今年全年平均增长目标7.5%,亦为2012年三季度以来最低季度增速;不过数据高於市场预估中值7.3%。GDP较上月则增长1.4%,前值增长1.8%。受工业和投资偏弱拖累,中国一季度GDP同比增速创出一年半来新低,显现经济下行压力;但数据略高於市场预期,服务业贡献度增加,也释放出一些积极信号,证实中国正在经济结构调整之路上前行,并已初显成效。中国经济数据公布后黄金现货价格回落5.59美元至1297.96美元/盎司。
美国红皮书研究机构4月15日公布的报告显示,4月12日当周美国红皮书商业零售销售年率增长2.6%,而上周公布的数据为增长2.9%。
纽约联储4月15日公布的数据显示,美国4月纽约联储制造业指数跌至1.29,预期为8.00,前值5.61。
据路透社4月15日公布的调查显示,多数受访分析师预计2014年金价最终将收在1250美元/盎司上方,因美国经济加速复苏刺激美元走强,调查还显示,分析师预计2014年三季度黄金均价在1262.50美元/盎司,四季度均价在1254.20美元/盎司。
欧洲时段关注意大利经常帐、英国失业报告、欧元区CPI、美国新屋开工、工业生产数据。另外还需要关注美联储主席耶伦讲话和褐皮书。
【技术分析】
日线图上,国际金价开出短小阳线,上方受到10日和60日均线1307.47和1306.67美元的压制,昨夜金价跌穿1300心理大关后或诱发低位买盘,小时图上金价已成功上穿20日均线1300.49,MACD红色动能柱在亚市早盘受压后向上增长,5日RSI值为63.83,且呈向上走势。
短线操作上建议投资者可在1292位置轻仓多单,止损1290,目标1310。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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