现货黄金难改趋势性走弱
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面分析】
美国经济继续体现复苏中的摇摆不定特征，这意味着美联储在货币收缩政策上不会很激进，即目前不宜对美联储何时升息做更多揣度。当然，美联储秋季结束QE基本是铁板钉钉的事情。欧元区经济相对于美国经济明显糟糕：经济复苏乏力，通缩风险明显。如果目前美联储正考虑怎样有序渐进撤出宽松(尽管这个过程恐需要数年)，而欧洲央行应该考虑的是怎样进一步放宽货币政策刺激经济复苏。无论如何，欧美货币政策在未来数年总体将继续维持宽松，这意味着即便现货黄金有再创新低的中期调整。
【技术分析】
回顾近期金价，反弹见顶1392.08美元后，最大回调幅度已达115美元，我们客户的空头获利巨大，尤其近期在1370、1380美元以上做空的新客户，尽管错过了前期涨势，但正斩获着投机的下半程。然近日我们也一直在考虑何时对空头进行调仓的问题。首先基于当前金市中期技术面，以及欧美货币政策走向为基础的基本面判断，我们认为阶段性后市金银总体趋空运行是极大概率事件，即操作上应总体偏空操作。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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