欧央行利率会议或为现货黄金价格带来指引
关键字：欧央行利率决议、国际现货黄金走势
【行情分析】
中国3月汇丰服务业PMI 51.9，前值51.0。中国3月汇丰综合PMI 49.3，前值49.8。但2月分项指数中的综合产出与新订单指数双双下滑，为7个月来首次出现。数据表明3月服务业活动有温和改善，就业以较快速度增加。但考虑到制造业PMI表现较差，中国经济潜在动能依然疲弱，这最终将让就业市场承压。早些时候公布的中国3月官方数据显示，非制造业PMI为54.5，2月为55.0，未能延续上月回升态势，表明扩张速度有所减缓。业务活动预期指数为61.5%，比上月上升1.6个百分点，并处於较高景气区间，指数连续高位回升表明非制造业企业对未来3个月市场预期继续持乐观的态度。
本日晚上北京时间7：45，欧洲央行将公布4月利率决议，晚上8点半欧央行行长德拉吉将举行新闻发布会。昨日IMF执行总裁拉加德提到欧元区的低通胀风险，认为欧央行应该增加包括非常规手段在内的货币宽松。而上周二，欧央行坚定的鹰派决策者德国央行行长魏德曼意外表示，不排除欧洲央行推出QE和负利率的可能。尽管越来越多的市场参与者认为欧元区将面临进一步通缩的风险，这将迫使欧央行出台一些非常规政策来避免陷入通缩，然而，今晚欧央行也有可能不会采取任何宽松措施，仅继续发布其鸽派的言论。
【技术面分析】
目前金价停留在1292美元水平，并且上看1,300美元的压力线试。只有达到1302美元技术上才能确认黄金中多头强势。1小时图上现货黄金价格开出一根呈下影线的阴烛，接近昨夜20:00-21:00金价开出有上影线的阳烛一半的长度，MACD形成金叉但掉头回落，5日RSI从日内高点77.08下滑至20.92并继续持下滑走势，视乎60日均线1285.78能否带来下方支撑，日内建议观望为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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