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道明证券:各方面因素引致黄金空头重来

关键字:黄金空头

道明证券(TD Securities)周二(3月18日)在报告中称,上周由于乌克兰克里米亚将举行入俄公投,而西方又在威胁制裁俄罗斯,导致避险情绪升温,金价曾一度上探1390美元。但随着公投结果如期公布,隔夜风险资产纷纷走强,而黄金也遭遇了“买预期,卖事实”操作回撤近30美元。

尽管该机构认为在乌克兰局势的推助下金价有望涨至1400整数关口,但预计今年金价终将走低。

该机构例举了以下获利了结的理由:

1.乌克兰地区局势将逐渐缓和;

2.美国经济数据改善;

3.缺乏中国实物金买盘支撑;

4.上海黄金交易所黄金溢价走低;

5.中国将美元/人民币汇率波动范围上调至+/-2%,令人民币加速贬值

道明证券强调,近几周来金价的上涨主要是依靠空头回补和小部分的多头买盘。随着未来空头回补力度减弱、宏观经济条件改善以及避险需求削弱,预计空头将卷土重来吗,并打压金价重新跌至1200美元水平。

 

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