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黄金避险升温 高盛仍看空金价

关键字:黄金价

避险基金对黄金兴趣升高,尽管高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)说金价今年意外的涨势可能很快就消失。

官方数据显示,避险基金和其他大型炒家连4周增加纽约黄金多头部位,看多黄金程度为2012年12月以来之最。金价涨破每盎司1350美元,创6年来最佳开年表现,但高盛分析师柯里(Jeffrey Currie)表示,金价2009年来首度跌到1000美元的机率攀升。

根据商品期货交易委员会(Commodity FuturesTrading Commission),黄金现货净多头部位增加3.8%,来到11万8241口。黄金空头部位减少 15%,来到2万6321口,创去年10月以来低点。美国交易的18种商品净多头部位增加9.7%,来到159万口,创2006年6月以来最高。

在美国经济成长转疲,俄罗斯入侵乌克兰下,金价今年计涨11%。去年对黄金却步的投资人,再度进场敲进全球最大黄金交易所交易产品(ETP),ETP黄金部位料创下1年来首次季度增幅。避险基金也加码糖、玉米和咖啡的多头部位,带动商品多头部位至历史新高。

协助打理1500亿美元资产的Stifel Nicolaus & CoInc.基金经理摩根兰德(Chad Morganlander)表示:「这些增幅令人印象深刻」「地缘不确定性的完美风暴,加上美国成长疑虑。」

纽约期金上周计涨1.3%,年来第8度周线涨势。追踪24种商品走势的标普高盛商品现货指数(Standard &Poor’s GSCI Spot Index)计涨0.6%,MSCI明晟全球指数(MSCI All Country World Index)计涨0.3 %。追踪美元兑一篮子10种主要货币的彭博美元指数跌幅不到0.1%。彭博美国公债指数计跌0.7%。

 

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