瑞银：上调黄金价格评估至1280
关键字：黄金价格
彭博社2月19日报导，在金价近期的回升之后，瑞银集团（UBS AG）上调了金价的预估，称因为避险需求以及亚洲消费者的买盘增加。瑞银分析师Edel Tully与Joni Teves在报告当中将一个月的金价目标预估由每盎司1,180美元上调至1,280美元，三个月目标价由1,100美元上调至1,350美元，2014全年平均金价的预估则由1,200美元上调至1,300美元。瑞银称金价过去13个月来的低迷气氛已经不再，并已经重拾动能。不过，该行对金价走势较为乐观的看法与高盛（Goldman Sachs Group Inc.）及法国兴业银行（Societe Generale SA）等相左，因这些银行认为在美国联储局持续缩减量化宽松之后，金价的反弹将会中止。金价本周写下三个月新高，19日黄金期货收盘来到每盎司1,320.4美元。另一方面，黄金ETF（交易所交易基金）的投资卖盘似乎也告一段落，SPDR黄金信托基金（GLD.US）的黄金持有量上周增加0.5%，为连续第三周增加；二月份至今，该基金黄金持有量增加2.45公吨，为连续13个月下滑之后首度增加。
瑞银称，该行对金价的看法已经较去年底有所改善，虽然该行仍认为金价上涨至每盎司1,400美元以上的机会不大，但金价重新跌落1,200美元以下似乎也不太可能；因此整体上该行对金价的预估有所上调，但预期走势将介于区间当中波动。巴克莱上周报告则表示，今年来金价上涨主要是投资人重新建立黄金的投资部位，以及中国大陆实物需求强劲的影响；尽管如此，该行认为金市的趋势并没有被改变，金价想要维持涨势仍有难度。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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