中国黄金需求量或下降 黄金市场再受压
关键字:中国黄金、黄金市场
在经历了2013年创记录的黄金进口量后,今年中国的黄金进口量预计将有所下降,这对本已不妙的黄金市场而言,可能再加一重压力。
去年金价大跌28%,低价下引发中国消费者蜂拥购买黄金。尤其是4月大跌中,“中国大妈”的购买力震惊世界。
2013年前11个月中国进口黄金超过1060吨,以目前数据来看,这些黄金占全球总购买量的三分之一。
不过有分析师认为,今年中国大陆进口黄金将会有所减少,有预计减少量在10%左右。
瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)贵金属分析主管Tom Kendall说:“我认为今年中国黄金进口量会减少10%到15%。那里有很多存货可以被投入珠宝市场。”
在2013年金价大跌的环境中,新兴市场对黄金需求大增,不过印度政府为限制经常账户赤字而对黄金进口进行了限制,因此中国取代印度成为全球第一大黄金消费国。
由于中国央行对黄金进口采取配额制,且需要发放进口牌照,因此中国市场的黄金溢价比其它亚洲市场都要高。目前的溢价在15美元/盎司左右,而新加坡和香港地区的溢价则仅为2美元/盎司左右。在去年五月,中国市场的黄金溢价曾一度达到30美元/盎司。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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