全球经济复苏 黄金创30年新低
关键字:国际现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
国际现货黄金周一(12月30日)于纽盘时段末跌破1200整数关口,并刷新日内1194.99美元/盎司低位,录得30年来最大年跌跌幅,因全球经济复苏向好,提振投资者的风险偏好使得把资金转移汇市或股市,另外年末机构调整仓位也触发金价下行。
【基本面分析】
全美地产经纪商协会(NAR)周一发布报告称,美国11月NAR季调后成屋签约销售指数月率上扬0.2%,至101.7,市场预期为上扬1.0%。10月份该指标为月率下降1.2%,至101.5。美国达拉斯联储(Dallas Fed)周一发布报告称,美国12月达拉斯联储企业活动指数为3.1,11月为1.9。该指数高于零说明制造业处于扩张状态,低于零则意味着制造业出现萎缩。
香港统计局公布的数据显示,11月中国大陆由香港净进口黄金规模自10月的131.19公吨大幅下跌42%,至76.393公吨。
据外媒调查数据显示,多数经济学家都认为美联储会更偏向于在明年全年7次美联储议息会议中宣布进一步缩减100亿美元购债规模。丹麦盛宝银行(Saxo Bank)商品分析师Ole Hansen周一称,“近期由于美联储意外缩减100亿购债规模,同时黄金ETF外流的情况也在持续,我认为明年金价至少还会下跌100美元左右,底部大致在1080美元水平。”
SPDR黄金基金的流出仍在持续,在周五持有量再度减少3吨后,其持有量跌至2009年来最低水平的801.2吨。
【技术分析】
目前现货黄金报于1198图表显示黄金价格自周一开盘后即下跌,在受阻前期斐波那契分割位置后,上方的压力较为明显, ,从周一的收盘来看,这种后市的走势仍是相当有利于空头的进一步发展的,此时的操作风格自然是逢高做空为主,下方的做多位置激进者可以参与,而稳健者就要观望。
操作建议:1200下行买入,1220上方沽空。
推荐阅读:
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.