德国商业银行：金价有可能会下跌至1180
关键字：金价下跌
随着美元的反弹以及美联储削减QE预期的升温，金价近期可谓积重难返，昨日更是下跌2.3%创下7月初以来的最低水平1217.75美元/盎司，引发因素即是11月份ISM制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)意外从10月份的56.4升至57.3，创2011年4月以来最高水平，提振美元全面反弹。
德国商业银行(Commerzbank AG)称，技术面看跌的黄金下跌到了斐波纳契水平下，预示着金价可能跌至今年的低点1180.50美元/盎司下方。
德国商业银行分析师Karen Jones认为从走势图来看金价动向指标显示负线在10月31日升至正线上方，显示这是售出的信号，并且ADX线在40上方，也预示着较强趋势，她说：“金价开始侵蚀其78.6%的回撤，并且开始侵蚀其11月底的低点。如果收于78.6%回撤下方，则预示着下行压力，可能会重新测试支撑点，即6月5日低点大约1208美元/盎司，以及6月28日低点1180美元/盎司。”
由于市场担忧今年美联储将缩减每个月850亿美元的债券购买规模，黄金市场价格将经历13年来第一次下跌，金价在今年已经下跌了约25%。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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