金币销售商Blanchard：黄金市场现买机
关键字：黄金市场
《Mineweb》11月22日报导，美国金条金币销售商Blanchard & Company总裁Donald W. Doyle认为，目前股市处于历史高位，黄金市场出现买入良机。Doyle指出，当前股市膨胀，这为投资者买入和增持被严重低估的贵金属提供了良机。当股市每天创造新高的时候，分散投资和持有安全资产是聪明的做法，而黄金能满足投资者这两个方面的要求。Doyle认为金价的底部在1200美元/盎司。当金价位于1200美元/盎司以下时，世界上相当一部分黄金矿商将面对负现金流，虽然短期内可以通过开采高质量金矿获取利润，但是长期来说，那样做是不可持续的，这将导致整体矿源的退化和开采寿命缩短。
部分分析师则认为，印度2009年向国际货币基金购买200吨黄金的时候，当时金价为1045美元/盎司，该水平可以视为目前黄金下跌的底部。不过分析师不总是对，金价位于这个水平时，高盛的分析师预测金价将继续下跌；而金价2011年中期达到1900美元/盎司时高盛则给出了2000美元/盎司的极限价。高盛最新报告则预期明年底黄金期货将下跌至1050美元/盎司。
金价今年以来下跌26%跌幅惨重，可能写下自1981年以来的逾30年最大年度跌幅，主要原因包括美股创新高吸引资金，以及黄金ETF（交易所交易基金）大减等。全球最大黄金ETF–SPDR黄金信托基金（GLD.US）22日黄金持有量减少8.1公吨成为852.21公吨，累计今年以来大减近500公吨或37%。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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