担忧联储局退出 黄金空头升4周高点
关键字:联储局削减量化宽松、黄金空头
美经济数据报佳音,市场重新燃起联储局(Fed)宽松退场的担忧,导致黄金熊市情绪飙升,避险基金不但大砍多头部位,空头部位也来到 4 周高点。
同时期商品部位也几乎全线下跌至 4 月以来低点。
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)数据显示,截至 11 月 5 日当周,黄金净多头部位锐减 13% 至 87689 口期货及选择权合约;放空和约更激增了 37%,为 10 月 15 日以来最大增幅。
囊括 18 种美国商品期货的总持仓量也下滑了 20%,其中棉花投资部位挫至今年低点,原油部位也来到 6 月以来低点。
今年迄今国际金价已重挫 23%,预计将写下 1981 年以来最大年减幅度;上周纽约黄金期货下跌 2.2% 至每盎司 1284.6 美元。
金价已连续 3 个交易日下跌,正朝向 3 周低点迈进;周一亚洲盘即期金价一度挫低 0.4% 至 1283.28 美元。
高盛(Goldman Sachs)上个月发布报告,估计今年底黄金现货将维持在 1300 美元左右,并在明年底进一步挫低至 1050 美元。
美国官方上周公布第 3 季经济成长率为 2.8%,不仅优于经济学家原先预期,也写下过去一年来最佳季度表现;上个月非农就业人数意外新增 20.4 万人,同样远高于市场预期。
投资机构 U.S. Bank Wealth Management 顾问 Dan Heckman 说,美国经济成长态势明显,因此预计今年底或明年初 Fed 就会开始缩减宽松。
他表示正在减码商品投资,因美国经济刺激即将消退,且欧洲担忧情绪升温。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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