10.8黄金价格走势分析（2013）
关键字：10.8黄金价格走势分析（2013）
【基本面】
美国政府关门进入第二周，各大新闻媒体的头条都是美国债务违约潜在的影响，令市场参与者不免开始越发担心美国债务违约。受此影响，美股继续下跌录得一个月新低。
从目前的情形来看，美国两党的立场均十分强硬，奥巴马敦促众议院尽快通过政府融资案以让政府开门，而众议院议长博纳则表示坚决表示除非在预算案上进行谈判，否则就不会上调债务上限。两党“掐架”的局面令市场越发担忧，随着美国债务上限提高的最后期限的来临，两党谈判的无果而终可能导致美国出现债务违约，这是美国乃至全球都不愿看到的。
受此影响，美股料继续下跌，一旦形势恶化，跌势将加大。
上周风险事件众多，除澳洲联储降息外，英欧日三大央行均维持利率不变；欧债消息面总体偏好；美联储会议纪要称就业萧条及经济不确定性促成QE3，可能设数字门槛；美国非农数据靓丽。上周非农数据前，金价呈震荡上行格局，一度创近11个月高位至1795.75；非农后，金价快速跳水，退守1780关口上方，因黄金作为对冲通胀工具的魅力减弱。
重点关注本周前期欧元区财长在布鲁塞尔举行的会议，预计各国财长将在会上就可能对西班牙实施救助的问题进行讨论。
【技术分析】
现货黄金周线收取一根下影线稍长的阴柱，周线看来在连续四周收阴后迎来小阳结果本周依然没有回转还是收阴，上方压力强劲，附图指标MACD金叉缩减。从日K来看，上个交易日收取一根带上下影线的小阳柱，布林带平行向下，附图指标MACD欲形成金叉，RSI走平。从四小时图看，布林带开始缩口向上，金价运行于布林带上轨与中轨之间，附图指标MACD金叉放量，RSI下勾。整体看金价强势，但会有回落修复，建议朋友们短期区间操作，破位顺势进行，严格止损。日内下方关注1318-1312一线支撑，上方关注1325-1331阻力位置。
操作建议：
1、黄金价格触及1327-1329空单进场，止损3.8个点，目标1322-1320；
2、黄金价格触及1313-1315多单进场，止损3.8个点，目标1320-1322。
3、黄金价格跌破1300，反弹1305附近做空，止损1308，目标看1290-1288
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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