现货黄金需求不足以支撑现货黄金上升
关键字：现货黄金、现货黄金
金价在今年经历了大幅下跌，很多分析师认为由于对实物黄金有强烈需求，金价已经过了其最困难的低点。然而ETFguide近日在给用户建议时则指出，金价尚未走出困境。
过去一年黄金需求总量下跌23%，其中作为投资的需求减少68%，各国央行对黄金的购买减少62%。
黄金需求的增加仅仅体现在珠宝和金条/金币的范畴内，而两者都和消费者行为紧密联系，尤其是在亚洲。
中国和印度消费者对实物黄金的疯狂购买并不足以成为看涨黄金的理由。消费信心指数常常是相反指向的。
英国著名股票投资者John Templeton爵士曾经指出：”从常识和逻辑上来看，如果别人和你都在同时买入资产的话，是不可能有好的投资表现的。”因此，任何见底的市场信号不是恐慌性的买入，而是恐慌性的抛售。就目前来看，黄金还没到这个时刻。
和很多黄金专家预测相反，EFT Profit Strategy Newsletter警告说投资黄金的资金都会是很短暂的。其中提到：”尽管目前面对的是一个谨慎看涨的股票市场，EFT股票Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX)却大大落后于美国股市和SPDR基金股。黄金两位数的下滑可能使矿企股票下跌20%。这表现出了很大的看跌空间。”
金价昨日急跌，最低曾跌至1365水平后才略略回稳，技术上像是有进一步下跌的机会，下方1348会成为此调整浪的支持点，市场开始对美国退市与否的重视程度大于对叙利亚开战，今晚20:30美国就业数据会进一步确认此情况。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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