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叙利亚局势成定时炸弹 黄金走势将现大波幅

关键字:叙利亚局势、黄金走势

叙利亚动荡格局暂时缓解,不过仍然是定时炸弹,有法国情报部门周一发布告称,8月21日发生在叙利亚首都大马士革郊外的针对平民目标的化学屋企袭击,是由以总统巴沙尔-阿萨徳为首的叙利亚政府当局蓄意发动的,而袭击的规模和组织化程度,也非任何其他势力所力所能及。

美国参议员麦凯恩周一指出,一旦美国国会在此后否决了此前由总统奥巴马提出的对叙利亚进行军事打击的动议,其后果将是灾难性的。麦凯恩在与奥巴马举行了会谈后指出,在美国总统奥巴马已经承诺了对叙利亚展开军事行动,以惩戒该国政府对平民目标使用化学武器一事的情况下,一旦动武提案遭到国会否决,后果将会不堪设想,并势必直接大幅损及美国政府在国内外的信誉。

据世界黄金协会(WGC)最新公布的报告,今年第二季度黄金ETF净减持402公吨,但金币与金条投资达创记录的508公吨。其中,中国与印度今年第二季度的现货黄金需求格外强劲:二季度中国金条与金币投资同比增长157%,至123公吨;印度金条与金币投资增长116%,至创纪录的122公吨。

虽然近期叙利亚战事需要等待美国国会的最后决定,但是随着市场对美联储退出策略的逐渐消化,以及中国和欧元区经济数据逐渐改善,美国外围资产吸引力相对走升将再度压制美元,全球总体依然宽松的货币环境将再度支撑黄金偏多势头。

由于本周美国公布失业率、非农数据,过往数据前夕都是偏调整为主,建议金价回低可吸纳。

预测金价区间1360-1400美元。

 

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