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今日国际金价实时行情与技术分析

关键字:国际金价实时行情

【行情分析】

投资者对美国可能对叙利亚采取军事行动的担忧正在蔓延,避险情绪上升为金价提供支持。后市来看,预计未来数日叙利亚局势引发的市场忧虑将持续升温,而是否引发市场大规模的恐慌,将取决于美国等西方国家的进一步表态。若局势恶化,将持续利好金银表现;若局势缓和,部分避险资金将流出,特别是黄金。

随着上半年黄金市场的两次暴跌,投资者的抄底欲望近期得到了激发。世界黄金协会的数据显示,今年上半年,中国的黄金消费上涨了45%,至571.2吨;印度的黄金消费上涨了48%,至567.5吨。尽管印度政府一直致力于调控黄金进口以挽救本国糟糕的财政状况,但是其对黄金进口的限制只能使得印度本国的金价由于供不应求而不断上扬,并不能削减印度人民购金的狂热偏好。且近日有报道称,由于金价大跌和中产阶级的壮大,东南亚最大的黄金消费国印度尼西亚也加入了中印的购金行列,其需求量比2012年的30.8吨上涨30%。目前黄金市场对于QE政策提前缩减的消息已经麻木,但随着QE退出日子的临近,黄金市场恐会再度遭遇“寒流”。

 

【技术分析】

自6月28日低点形成至今,黄金价格的涨幅已经超过20%,再次进入理论上的牛市区域。不过,1440美元一线是今年以来黄金下跌的50%黄金分割位置,该位置附近有较强的技术压力。为防范风险,建议投资者在1430美元附近减持部分多单,轻仓观望金价在1440压力位的表现,止损1370美元。

 

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